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Naft Missan vs Al Naft

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Salim K.
32' Event
Gueye Dieme D.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Gueye Dieme D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Naft Missan and Al Naft finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naft Missan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Naft Missan
30%
Draws
47%
Al Naft
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Naft come out ahead of Naft Missan on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 23%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Missan Al Naft
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 12
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.14 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Naft
0:0
May 10, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Naft
3:0
Jan 23, 2026 Stars League
Al Naft vs Naft Missan
1:2
May 18, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Naft Missan
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Naft
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Missan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye Dieme D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Al Naft Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Missan 37 / 100
Al Naft 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Missan Al Naft

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Naft Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Missan's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Naft Missan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Naft has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Naft Missan VS Al Naft
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Missan

(Home)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Naft Missan
Page 1 of 6

Al Naft

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1
Karbala
09 Sept
Al Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)