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Naft Missan vs Al Shorta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naft Missan host Al Shorta in the Stars League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Al Shorta have shipped 0.66 goals a game lately, while Naft Missan have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Al Shorta slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.44) point toward Al Shorta. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Naft Missan
35%
Draws
55%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Shorta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Shorta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 16%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Missan Al Shorta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.07 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Shorta
2:2
Jan 27, 2026 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Naft Missan
2:1
Mar 13, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Shorta
0:4
Jan 14, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Naft Missan
3:3
May 30, 2024 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Shorta
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Missan 10 / 100
Al Shorta 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Missan Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Naft Missan scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Al Shorta conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Naft Missan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naft Missan VS Al Shorta
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Missan

(Home)
06 Nov
Al Karma
4 : 1
Naft Missan
31 Oct
Naft Missan
0 : 0
Zakho
25 Oct
Ghaz Al Shamal
1 : 0
Naft Missan
16 Oct
Diyala
2 : 0
Naft Missan
08 Oct
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Erbil
Page 1 of 6

Al Shorta

(Away)
08 Nov
Al Shorta
2 : 1
Al Naft
03 Nov
Al Hussein
0 : 3
Al Shorta
31 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Newroz
27 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Hussein
23 Oct
Al Zawraa
0 : 2
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)