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Naft Missan vs Al Talaba

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Artien M.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Naft Missan and Al Talaba finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Talaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Naft Missan
35%
Draws
35%
Al Talaba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Talaba come out ahead of Naft Missan on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Naft Missan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 20%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Missan Al Talaba
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Talaba
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Talaba
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Naft Missan
2:1
Apr 28, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Naft Missan
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Talaba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Missan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Talaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Artien M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Missan 42 / 100
Al Talaba 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Missan Al Talaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naft Missan scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Al Talaba has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Naft Missan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naft Missan VS Al Talaba
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Missan

(Home)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Naft Missan
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Al Talaba

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)