Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naft Missan vs Al Zawraa

Iraq Iraq

Iraq Cup
Fri, Jun 5, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Al Zawraa have shipped 0.74 goals a game lately, while Naft Missan have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.32. Past meetings favor Al Zawraa slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 25, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 0.50 vs 1.25, favoring Al Zawraa. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Naft Missan
30%
Draws
51%
Al Zawraa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Zawraa have won more games recently than Naft Missan.
  • Win probability leans Al Zawraa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Al Zawraa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Zawraa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 19%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Missan Al Zawraa
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 16
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.32 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Naft Missan
4:0
Jun 5, 2026 Iraq Cup
Naft Missan vs Al Zawraa
0:0
Mar 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Naft Missan
1:1
Jan 9, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Zawraa
2:2
May 13, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Zawraa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Missan 12 / 100
Al Zawraa 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Missan Al Zawraa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Missan's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Naft Missan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Zawraa conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Naft Missan VS Al Zawraa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Missan

(Home)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Naft Missan
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Al Zawraa

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Shorta -
Al Bahri -
Al Karma -
Al Hashd Al Shaab -
Al Talaba -
Al Karkh -
Al Qassim -
Al Naft -
Naft Missan -
Al Zawraa -
Duhok -
Erbil -
Al Minaa -
Zakho -
Al Quwa Al Jawiya -
Karbala -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -