Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naft Missan vs Erbil

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Naft Missan
30%
Draws
47%
Erbil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Erbil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Erbil have won more games recently than Naft Missan.
  • Win probability leans Erbil's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 20%
Erbil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Missan Erbil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 19
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.23 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Erbil
0:0
Dec 31, 2025 Stars League
Erbil vs Naft Missan
1:0
May 7, 2025 Stars League
Erbil vs Naft Missan
3:2
Nov 30, 2024 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Erbil
1:1
Jun 19, 2024 Stars League
Erbil vs Naft Missan
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Missan 10 / 100
Erbil 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Missan Erbil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erbil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Missan found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Naft Missan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Erbil has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naft Missan VS Erbil
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Missan

(Home)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Naft Missan
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Erbil

(Away)
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3
Erbil
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2
Al-Karma
08 Sept
Erbil
2 : 0
Diyala
04 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Erbil
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0
Al Minaa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)