Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nafta vs Bistrica

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Športni park Lendava, Lendava
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kerin M.
Own Goal
27' Event
Marsetic E.
77' Event
Bajde G.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Nafta and Bistrica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nafta
44%
Draws
20%
Bistrica
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Nafta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nafta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nafta Clean Sheet 20%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nafta Bistrica
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 2. SNL
Nafta vs Bistrica
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Nafta
0:2
Jan 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Nafta vs Bistrica
6:3
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Nafta vs Bistrica
2:3
Nov 13, 2023 2. SNL
Nafta vs Bistrica
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajde G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsetic E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nafta 36 / 100
Bistrica 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nafta Bistrica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nafta found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Bistrica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Bistrica has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nafta VS Bistrica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nafta

(Home)
17 Jul
Nafta
0 : 2
Koper
11 Jul
Nafta
1 : 4
Partizan
04 Jul
Nafta
0 : 3
Honved
27 Jun
Nafta
0 : 3
Voluntari
31 May
Nafta
1 : 0
Primorje
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Bistrica

(Away)
18 Jul
ASK Voitsberg
5 : 4
Bistrica
14 Jul
Bistrica
0 : 4
FC Bihor
23 May
Bistrica
1 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
16 May
Triglav
0 : 4
Bistrica
09 May
Bistrica
0 : 4
Grosuplje
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)