Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nafta vs Bogojina

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2016/2017 Športni park Lendava, Lendava
Nafta Logo

Nafta

6 - 1
FT
Bogojina Logo

Bogojina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nafta in this 3. SNL - East 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nafta
15%
Draws
42%
Bogojina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nafta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nafta lately — more wins on the board than Bogojina.
  • Nafta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nafta Clean Sheet 20%
Bogojina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nafta Bogojina
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 1
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2017 3. SNL - East
Nafta vs Bogojina
6:1
Oct 2, 2016 3. SNL - East
Bogojina vs Nafta
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nafta 85 / 100
Bogojina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nafta Bogojina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nafta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nafta scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Bogojina conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Bogojina registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nafta VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nafta

(Home)
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
15 Aug
Nafta
1 : 3
Celje
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Bogojina

(Away)
18 Sept
Bogojina
0 : 4
Mura
26 May
Bogojina
2 : 1
Radgona
19 May
NK Polana
7 : 2
Bogojina
13 May
Bogojina
1 : 5
Odranci
06 May
NK Carda Martjanci
0 : 1
Bogojina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nafta 26 21 2 3 82:17 65
2 Mura 26 20 3 3 100:17 63
3 Odranci 26 19 3 4 56:31 60
4 Beltinci 26 15 4 7 53:24 49
5 Ljutomer 26 13 2 11 48:39 41
6 Tromejnik 26 11 4 11 37:40 37
7 Hotiza 26 10 3 13 41:61 33
8 NK Carda Martjanci 26 8 7 11 39:57 31
9 NK Polana 26 9 3 14 38:53 30
10 Rakican 26 8 4 14 31:61 28
11 Grad 26 7 4 15 26:55 25
12 Bogojina 26 7 4 15 22:65 25
13 Turnisce 26 6 4 16 28:50 22
14 Krizevci 26 3 3 20 23:54 12
Promotion - 2. SNL 2017/2018 (Main)