Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nafta vs Jadran Dekani

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Športni park Lendava, Lendava
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Cerovec D.
Own Goal
50' Event
Marosa A.
60' Event
Zorica J.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Nafta and Jadran Dekani finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Nafta
17%
Draws
70%
Jadran Dekani
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Jadran Dekani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nafta come out ahead of Jadran Dekani on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Jadran Dekani taking it.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nafta have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nafta Clean Sheet 20%
Jadran Dekani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nafta Jadran Dekani
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 20 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 2. SNL
Nafta vs Jadran Dekani
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Nafta
0:2
May 11, 2024 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Nafta
2:0
Oct 21, 2023 2. SNL
Nafta vs Jadran Dekani
1:0
May 4, 2023 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Nafta
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Marosa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zorica J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jadran Dekani Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nafta 16 / 100
Jadran Dekani 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nafta Jadran Dekani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nafta's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Jadran Dekani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Jadran Dekani has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nafta VS Jadran Dekani
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nafta

(Home)
17 Jul
Nafta
0 : 2
Koper
11 Jul
Nafta
1 : 4
Partizan
04 Jul
Nafta
0 : 3
Honved
27 Jun
Nafta
0 : 3
Voluntari
31 May
Nafta
1 : 0
Primorje
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Jadran Dekani

(Away)
16 Jul
Rijeka
2 : 0
Jadran Dekani
08 Jul
Jadran Dekani
0 : 1
FC Bihor
02 Jul
Jadran Dekani
0 : 4
Campionii Arges
23 May
Jadran Dekani
4 : 3
NK Krka
15 May
Rudar
2 : 2
Jadran Dekani
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)