Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nafta vs Koper

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Športni park Lendava, Lendava
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
27' Event
Manseri K.
Assist: Backulja F.
45'
Tomek F.

AI Match Summary

Koper in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Koper.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Nafta
15%
Draws
53%
Koper
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Koper

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Koper lately — more wins on the board than Nafta.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Koper here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nafta Clean Sheet 17%
Koper Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nafta Koper
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Prva liga
Nafta vs Koper
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Prva liga
Nafta vs Koper
1:5
Mar 1, 2025 Prva liga
Koper vs Nafta
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Prva liga
Nafta vs Koper
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 Prva liga
Koper vs Nafta
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nafta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Koper Compare

Top Goalscorer Manseri K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Irabor B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nafta 31 / 100
Koper 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nafta Koper

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nafta's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Koper has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Nafta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nafta VS Koper
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nafta

(Home)
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
15 Aug
Nafta
1 : 3
Celje
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Koper

(Away)
12 Sept
Koper
1 : 3
O. Ljubljana
06 Sept
Celje
0 : 1
Koper
28 Aug
Aluminij
0 : 1
Koper
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1
Koper
16 Aug
Koper
0 : 0
Bravo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 9 5 4 0 17:6 19
2 Bravo 9 4 3 2 10:9 15
3 Koper 9 4 3 2 9:8 15
4 O. Ljubljana 9 4 2 3 9:6 14
5 Nafta 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
6 Aluminij 9 3 3 3 14:9 12
7 Celje 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
8 Mura 9 2 2 5 10:21 8
9 Grosuplje 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Radomlje 8 1 2 5 8:16 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)