Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nafta vs Koper

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Športni park Lendava, Lendava
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
27' Event
Manseri K.
Assist: Backulja F.
45'
Tomek F.

AI Match Summary

Koper in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Koper.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nafta
6%
Draws
90%
Koper
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Koper

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Koper lately — more wins on the board than Nafta.
  • Win probability leans Koper's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Koper here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nafta Clean Sheet 12%
Koper Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nafta Koper
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Prva liga
Nafta vs Koper
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Prva liga
Nafta vs Koper
1:5
Mar 1, 2025 Prva liga
Koper vs Nafta
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Prva liga
Nafta vs Koper
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 Prva liga
Koper vs Nafta
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nafta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Koper Compare

Top Goalscorer Manseri K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Irabor B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nafta 10 / 100
Koper 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nafta Koper

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nafta's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Koper's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Nafta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nafta VS Koper
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nafta

(Home)
17 Jul
Nafta
0 : 2
Koper
11 Jul
Nafta
1 : 4
Partizan
04 Jul
Nafta
0 : 3
Honved
27 Jun
Nafta
0 : 3
Voluntari
31 May
Nafta
1 : 0
Primorje
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Koper

(Away)
17 Jul
Nafta
0 : 2
Koper
11 Jul
MTK Budapest
1 : 3
Koper
08 Jul
Din. Zagreb
4 : 2
Koper
05 Jul
Koper
1 : 2
LNZ Cherkasy
02 Jul
Koper
1 : 0
Corvinul Hunedoara
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Koper11002:03
2Grosuplje11002:03
3Bravo11002:03
4Celje10102:21
5Mura10102:21
6Maribor10100:01
7Aluminij10100:01
8Nafta10010:20
9O. Ljubljana10010:20
10Radomlje10010:20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)