Sport Picks
Naftan vs Dnepr Mogilev
Belarus
Vysshaya Liga Atlant Stadium, Novopolotsk 
Match Events
1'
1'
Zemko E.
64'
64'
Sub
Gadzhiev S. In: Latykhov D.
Out: Gadzhiev S.
72'
72'
Sub
Zemko E. In: Adamovich K.
Out: Zemko E.
AI Match Summary
The Vysshaya Liga game between Naftan and Dnepr Mogilev finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Naftan haven't matched Dnepr Mogilev's recent run of results.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Naftan Clean Sheet 15%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naftan | Dnepr Mogilev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Dnepr Mogilev
0:0
Feb 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan
6:2
Oct 6, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan
0:3
May 18, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Naftan 31 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Naftan Dnepr Mogilev
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DNE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Dnepr Mogilev conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Naftan found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).
Dnepr Mogilev's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Naftan VS Dnepr Mogilev
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Naftan
(Home) 19 Jul
Orsha
3 : 2 Naftan
03 Jul
Naftan
2 : 4 Dynamo Brest
27 Jun
ML Vitebsk
2 : 1 Naftan
19 Jun
Naftan
1 : 0 FK Baranovici
12 Jun
Isloch Minsk
3 : 1 Naftan
Page 1 of 6
03 Jul
Naftan
2 : 4 Dynamo Brest
19 Jun
Naftan
1 : 0 FK Baranovici
29 May
Naftan
0 : 4 Zhodino
17 May
Naftan
0 : 1 Slavia Mozyr
10 May
Naftan
0 : 0 BATE
Page 1 of 3
Dnepr Mogilev
(Away) 18 Jul
Osipovichi
1 : 3 Dnepr Mogilev
10 Jul
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 2 FC Minsk
04 Jul
Vitebsk
1 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
28 Jun
Dnepr Mogilev
2 : 0 Neman
20 Jun
FC Gomel
2 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Osipovichi
1 : 3 Dnepr Mogilev
04 Jul
Vitebsk
1 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
20 Jun
FC Gomel
2 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
31 May
BATE
1 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
24 May
Din. Minsk
3 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Din. Minsk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26:12 | 33 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30:13 | 31 |
| 3 | Isloch Minsk | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24:10 | 28 |
| 4 | FC Gomel | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Dynamo Brest | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:15 | 24 |
| 6 | Zhodino | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:21 | 21 |
| 9 | Neman | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Vitebsk | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 11 | FK Baranovici | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15:26 | 16 |
| 12 | Slavia Mozyr | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 13 | Dnepr Mogilev | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12:22 | 11 |
| 14 | Belshina | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13:26 | 11 |
| 15 | BATE | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Naftan | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10:31 | 6 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)