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Naftan vs Isloch Minsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Atlant Stadium, Novopolotsk
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naftan host Isloch Minsk in the Vysshaya Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Isloch Minsk have shipped 0.79 goals a game lately, while Naftan have conceded 2.21 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor Isloch Minsk slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 12, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 2.25, favoring Isloch Minsk. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Naftan
30%
Draws
37%
Isloch Minsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Isloch Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Isloch Minsk come out ahead of Naftan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Isloch Minsk's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%
Isloch Minsk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naftan Isloch Minsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.21 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Isloch Minsk vs Naftan
3:1
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Isloch Minsk vs Naftan
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Isloch Minsk
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Isloch Minsk vs Naftan
3:0
Feb 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Isloch Minsk vs Naftan
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naftan 18 / 100
Isloch Minsk 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naftan Isloch Minsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Isloch Minsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naftan scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Naftan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Isloch Minsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Naftan VS Isloch Minsk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Naftan

(Home)
10 Oct
Naftan
4 : 1
Belshina
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
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Isloch Minsk

(Away)
11 Oct
Vitebsk
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
19 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 2
Neman
13 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 1
FC Gomel
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
03 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ML Vitebsk 22 13 8 1 47:18 47
2 Isloch Minsk 23 13 7 3 37:18 46
3 Din. Minsk 22 14 4 4 40:18 46
4 Dynamo Brest 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Neman 23 12 4 7 29:20 40
6 FC Gomel 24 11 6 7 34:23 39
7 Vitebsk 24 10 7 7 28:21 37
8 FC Minsk 24 10 4 10 30:29 34
9 Zhodino 23 8 6 9 29:29 30
10 Slavia Mozyr 23 6 7 10 24:28 25
11 FK Baranovici 24 6 7 11 24:41 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 24 5 8 11 24:42 23
13 BATE 23 4 9 10 18:28 21
14 Belshina 23 5 6 12 23:40 21
15 Naftan 24 4 5 15 24:55 17
16 Dnepr Mogilev 24 2 10 12 22:39 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)