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Naftan vs Vitebsk

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Krasnov E.
24' Event
Drabatovich A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Naftan and Vitebsk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Naftan
11%
Draws
80%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Naftan haven't matched Vitebsk's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vitebsk's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Naftan Clean Sheet 14%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naftan Vitebsk
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Vitebsk
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Naftan vs Vitebsk
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Vitebsk vs Naftan
3:3
Aug 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Vitebsk
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Naftan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naftan Compare

Top Goalscorer Drabatovich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasnov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naftan 11 / 100
Vitebsk 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naftan Vitebsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naftan's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Vitebsk let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Naftan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naftan VS Vitebsk
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%