Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Anufriev A.
21'
21'
Bashilov M.
29'
29'
Sub
Mafwenta G. In: Gadzhiev S.
Out: Mafwenta G.
AI Match Summary
The Vysshaya Liga game between Naftan and Vitebsk finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitebsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Vitebsk carry the better recent record into this one.
- Vitebsk are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naftan | Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.08 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Vitebsk
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Naftan vs Vitebsk
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Vitebsk vs Naftan
3:3
Aug 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Vitebsk
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Naftan
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Naftan Compare
Top Goalscorer Drabatovich A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Vitebsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Zgomba M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Naftan 18 / 100
Vitebsk 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Naftan Vitebsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Naftan scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.
Defensive concern: Vitebsk conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Naftan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Naftan VS Vitebsk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Naftan
(Home) 15 Aug
FC Gomel
6 : 0 Naftan
07 Aug
Naftan
3 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
31 Jul
Dnepr Mogilev
3 : 3 Naftan
19 Jul
Orsha
3 : 2 Naftan
03 Jul
Naftan
2 : 4 Dynamo Brest
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Naftan
3 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
03 Jul
Naftan
2 : 4 Dynamo Brest
19 Jun
Naftan
1 : 0 FK Baranovici
29 May
Naftan
0 : 4 Zhodino
17 May
Naftan
0 : 1 Slavia Mozyr
Page 1 of 3
Vitebsk
(Away) 15 Aug
BATE
1 : 0 Vitebsk
08 Aug
Vitebsk
1 : 0 Neman
01 Aug
FC Gomel
0 : 1 Vitebsk
25 Jul
FC Gomel
1 : 2 Vitebsk
18 Jul
Ostrovets
2 : 3 Vitebsk
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
BATE
1 : 0 Vitebsk
01 Aug
FC Gomel
0 : 1 Vitebsk
25 Jul
FC Gomel
1 : 2 Vitebsk
18 Jul
Ostrovets
2 : 3 Vitebsk
12 Jul
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 3 Vitebsk
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Din. Minsk | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 30:12 | 36 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 32:13 | 34 |
| 3 | Isloch Minsk | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30:14 | 34 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30:17 | 30 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 29 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:23 | 28 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Neman | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 18:17 | 24 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23:18 | 23 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 11 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:29 | 21 |
| 12 | FK Baranovici | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20:34 | 17 |
| 13 | BATE | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 14 | Dnepr Mogilev | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16:29 | 13 |
| 15 | Belshina | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14:31 | 12 |
| 16 | Naftan | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16:40 | 10 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)
