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Nagybajom vs Dorogi FC

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nagybajom play Dorogi FC in the Hungarian Cup 2019/2020. Dorogi FC are favorites here. Recently, Nagybajom averaged 1.3 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. Dorogi FC averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Nagybajom won 0, Dorogi FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 30, 2019 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Nagybajom and 1.43 for Dorogi FC. This points to a Dorogi FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Nagybajom
15%
Draws
69%
Dorogi FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dorogi FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nagybajom picked up more points recently compared to Dorogi FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Nagybajom Clean Sheet 17%
Dorogi FC Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagybajom Dorogi FC
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 2 18
Draws 0 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.68
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2019 Hungarian Cup
Nagybajom vs Dorogi FC
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nagybajom Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Dorogi FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Foldi B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kitl M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagybajom 18 / 100
Dorogi FC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagybajom Dorogi FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorogi FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Dorogi FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nagybajom attacking → ← attacking Dorogi FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagybajom scored in 80% of their last 10 games.

Dorogi FC let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Nagybajom went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Dorogi FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 58
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25