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Nagykanizsa FC vs MTK Budapest II

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 Nagykanizsai Olajbanyasz Stadion, Nagykanizsai
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Ekker M.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Nagykanizsa FC and MTK Budapest II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nagykanizsa FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nagykanizsa FC
40%
Draws
29%
MTK Budapest II
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nagykanizsa FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nagykanizsa FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nagykanizsa FC Clean Sheet 20%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagykanizsa FC MTK Budapest II
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 3.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Nagykanizsa FC vs MTK Budapest II
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Nagykanizsa FC
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Nagykanizsa FC
0:2
Sep 8, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Nagykanizsa FC vs MTK Budapest II
3:2
Nov 18, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Nagykanizsa FC vs MTK Budapest II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nagykanizsa FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekker M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

MTK Budapest II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagykanizsa FC 32 / 100
MTK Budapest II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagykanizsa FC MTK Budapest II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagykanizsa FC found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Nagykanizsa FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

MTK Budapest II let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nagykanizsa FC VS MTK Budapest II
3.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nagykanizsa FC

(Home)
01 Jul
Videoton
2 : 0
Nagykanizsa FC
07 Jun
Cigand SE
0 : 2
Nagykanizsa FC
31 May
Nagykanizsa FC
2 : 2
Cigand SE
24 May
Nagykanizsa FC
1 : 0
MTK Budapest II
17 May
Ivancsa
1 : 2
Nagykanizsa FC
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MTK Budapest II

(Away)
24 May
Nagykanizsa FC
1 : 0
MTK Budapest II
17 May
MTK Budapest II
2 : 0
Dunaujvaros
10 May
Ivancsa
0 : 0
MTK Budapest II
03 May
MTK Budapest II
1 : 1
Pecsi MFC
26 Apr
PTE-PEAC
1 : 3
MTK Budapest II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nagykanizsa FC30216364:2769
2Pecsi MFC30207371:2567
3Kaposvar30203764:3263
4Ferencvaros II30174963:4355
5Majosi301731078:4954
6MTK Budapest II301641062:3352
7Erdi30157847:3952
8Dunaujvaros301310758:4249
9Ivancsa301161349:4439
10Siofok301151440:5538
11Paks II301021842:6232
12Szekszardi30941743:7531
13PTE-PEAC306101439:5128
14Balatonlelle30661824:5324
15Penzugyor SE30481831:6120
16Dombovari30032722:1063
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)