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Nairn County vs Fraserburgh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nairn County host Fraserburgh in the Highland League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Nairn County have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.74 conceded recently, against Fraserburgh's 2.07 scored and 1.61 conceded. Head-to-head, Nairn County have won 0 to Fraserburgh's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 1.13) point toward Fraserburgh. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Nairn County
15%
Draws
37%
Fraserburgh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nairn County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Fraserburgh have won more games recently than Nairn County.
  • Model gives Nairn County a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Highland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fraserburgh have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 20%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nairn County Fraserburgh
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.19 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Nairn County
2:0
Apr 8, 2026 Highland League
Nairn County vs Fraserburgh
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Nairn County
7:0
Mar 15, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Nairn County
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 Highland League
Nairn County vs Fraserburgh
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nairn County 67 / 100
Fraserburgh 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nairn County Fraserburgh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nairn County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nairn County's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Fraserburgh has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Nairn County stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nairn County VS Fraserburgh
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Nairn County

(Home)
10 Oct
Brora Rangers
2 : 1
Nairn County
07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3
Nairn County
16 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 0
Wick Academy
Page 1 of 7

Fraserburgh

(Away)
10 Oct
Fraserburgh
2 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
07 Oct
Banks O' Dee
1 : 3
Fraserburgh
03 Oct
Caledonian Braves
4 : 0
Fraserburgh
26 Sept
Fraserburgh
4 : 3
Stirling
22 Sept
Fraserburgh
0 : 5
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 14 12 2 0 55:13 38
2 Inverurie Loco Works 15 8 5 2 28:20 29
3 Formartine Utd 14 8 4 2 27:17 28
4 Fraserburgh 13 7 4 2 29:13 25
5 Clachnacuddin 13 6 5 2 31:11 23
6 Banks O' Dee 14 6 4 4 35:27 22
7 Huntly 14 6 3 5 28:21 21
8 Strathspey Thistle 15 6 3 6 28:21 21
9 Forres Mechanics 14 6 2 6 23:22 20
10 Buckie Thistle 13 6 1 6 32:23 19
11 Turriff United 14 6 1 7 18:18 19
12 Nairn County 14 4 5 5 20:23 17
13 Lossiemouth 14 5 2 7 20:34 17
14 Deveronvale 14 4 3 7 19:23 15
15 Keith 14 4 3 7 19:31 15
16 Invergordon 14 4 1 9 17:36 13
17 Wick Academy 14 2 0 12 12:40 6
18 Rothes 13 1 0 12 9:57 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)