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Nairn County vs Rothes

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Walker L.
81' Event
Brindle P.
86' Event
Brindle P.
Assist: Barron B.

AI Match Summary

The Highland League game between Nairn County and Rothes finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nairn County.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Nairn County
20%
Draws
0%
Rothes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nairn County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Nairn County carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nairn County are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nairn County here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 20%
Rothes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nairn County Rothes
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 2
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.14 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.75 4.26
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Highland League
Nairn County vs Rothes
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Highland League
Rothes vs Nairn County
0:4
Sep 13, 2025 Highland League
Nairn County vs Rothes
4:0
Dec 28, 2024 Highland League
Rothes vs Nairn County
1:4
Aug 16, 2024 Highland League
Nairn County vs Rothes
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nairn County Compare

Top Goalscorer Brindle P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Walker L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Rothes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nairn County 85 / 100
Rothes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nairn County Rothes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nairn County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rothes let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Rothes has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Nairn County scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nairn County VS Rothes
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 5.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Nairn County

(Home)
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3
Nairn County
16 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 0
Wick Academy
12 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 2
Banks O' Dee
05 Sept
Formartine Utd
1 : 1
Nairn County
Page 1 of 6

Rothes

(Away)
03 Oct
Rothes
0 : 9
Brora Rangers
26 Sept
Turriff United
4 : 1
Rothes
19 Sept
Rothes
0 : 8
Brora Rangers
16 Sept
Strathspey Thistle
7 : 1
Rothes
05 Sept
Rothes
0 : 5
Banks O' Dee
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 12 10 2 0 48:10 32
2 Inverurie Loco Works 13 7 5 1 27:18 26
3 Formartine Utd 12 6 4 2 23:16 22
4 Fraserburgh 11 6 3 2 24:10 21
5 Strathspey Thistle 13 6 2 5 24:16 20
6 Forres Mechanics 12 6 2 4 21:15 20
7 Buckie Thistle 11 6 1 4 30:16 19
8 Banks O' Dee 12 5 4 3 28:24 19
9 Clachnacuddin 11 4 5 2 24:11 17
10 Turriff United 12 5 1 6 16:17 16
11 Huntly 12 4 3 5 23:20 15
12 Nairn County 12 3 5 4 16:19 14
13 Lossiemouth 12 4 2 6 16:26 14
14 Deveronvale 12 3 3 6 16:20 12
15 Keith 12 3 3 6 18:29 12
16 Invergordon 12 3 1 8 15:35 10
17 Wick Academy 12 2 0 10 11:34 6
18 Rothes 11 1 0 10 8:52 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)