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Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Nairobi City Stars
11%
Draws
80%
MOFA
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: MOFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MOFA lately — more wins on the board than Nairobi City Stars.
  • Model gives MOFA a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nairobi City Stars Clean Sheet 20%
MOFA Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nairobi City Stars MOFA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 11 13
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Super League
Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Super League
MOFA vs Nairobi City Stars
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nairobi City Stars 12 / 100
MOFA 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nairobi City Stars MOFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nairobi City Stars scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: MOFA conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nairobi City Stars remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nairobi City Stars VS MOFA
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nairobi City Stars

(Home)
13 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 3
Darajani Gogo
07 Jun
Talanta FC
5 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
Page 1 of 6

MOFA

(Away)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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