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Nairobi United vs Bidco United

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nairobi United play Bidco United in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nairobi United averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Bidco United averaged 0.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Nairobi United won 1, Bidco United won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Nairobi United and 0.63 for Bidco United. This points to a Nairobi United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Nairobi United
28%
Draws
22%
Bidco United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nairobi United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nairobi United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bidco United.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Nairobi United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 68%
Bidco United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nairobi United Bidco United
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 11 11
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Premier League
Nairobi United vs Bidco United
3:0
Oct 6, 2025 Premier League
Bidco United vs Nairobi United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nairobi United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kizza M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wangaya K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bidco United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nairobi United 59 / 100
Bidco United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nairobi United Bidco United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nairobi United scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Bidco United let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Nairobi United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bidco United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nairobi United VS Bidco United
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119