Sport Picks
Nairobi United vs Posta Rangers
Kenya
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
16'
16'
Macharia J.
21'
21'
Karamor M.
43'
43'
Macharia J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nairobi United lately — more wins on the board than Posta Rangers.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 20%
Posta Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nairobi United | Posta Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Premier League
Nairobi United vs Posta Rangers
2:2
Apr 12, 2026 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Posta Rangers vs Nairobi United
0:2
Dec 8, 2025 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Nairobi United
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nairobi United Compare
Top Goalscorer Karamor M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Omalla B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Posta Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Macharia J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nairobi United 31 / 100
Posta Rangers 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nairobi United Posta Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nairobi United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nairobi United scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Posta Rangers conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Nairobi United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nairobi United VS Posta Rangers
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nairobi United
(Home) 31 May
Mahia
0 : 1 Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0 Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0 Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0 Tusker
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0 Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0 Tusker
03 May
Nairobi United
0 : 1 KCB
08 Apr
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Kakamega Homeboyz
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Posta Rangers
(Away) 31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1 Ulinzi Stars
23 May
KCB
0 : 1 Posta Rangers
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
06 May
Bandari
1 : 1 Posta Rangers
Page 1 of 6
23 May
KCB
0 : 1 Posta Rangers
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
06 May
Bandari
1 : 1 Posta Rangers
06 Apr
Mara Sugar
1 : 0 Posta Rangers
22 Mar
Kariobangi Sharks
1 : 2 Posta Rangers
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
