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Najran vs Tuwaiq

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Najran and Tuwaiq finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Najran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Najran
15%
Draws
42%
Tuwaiq
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Najran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Najran carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Najran Clean Sheet 19%
Tuwaiq Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Najran Tuwaiq
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Division 2
Tuwaiq vs Najran
2:2
Nov 18, 2025 Division 2
Najran vs Tuwaiq
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Najran 32 / 100
Tuwaiq 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Najran Tuwaiq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuwaiq Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuwaiq let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Najran's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Tuwaiq has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Najran VS Tuwaiq
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Najran

(Home)
10 Apr
Najran
3 : 2
Al Najoom
04 Apr
Jubbah
3 : 1
Najran
28 Mar
Al-Sahel
2 : 0
Najran
24 Mar
Al Jeel
1 : 0
Najran
14 Mar
Najran
2 : 1
Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 6

Tuwaiq

(Away)
10 Apr
Al-Shoalah
4 : 1
Tuwaiq
04 Apr
Tuwaiq
4 : 1
Al Rawdhah
28 Mar
Al Ain
2 : 1
Tuwaiq
14 Mar
Tuwaiq
1 : 3
Al-Washm
07 Mar
Al Entesar
1 : 2
Tuwaiq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al-Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al-Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al-Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al-Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al-Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al-Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)