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Stadium Background

Nakhon Pathom vs Chanthaburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Prachuabmon C.
69' Event
Douglas Tardin

AI Match Summary

Nakhon Pathom in this Thai League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nakhon Pathom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Nakhon Pathom
30%
Draws
18%
Chanthaburi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nakhon Pathom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nakhon Pathom lately — more wins on the board than Chanthaburi.
  • Nakhon Pathom are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Nakhon Pathom have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Nakhon Pathom Clean Sheet 68%
Chanthaburi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakhon Pathom Chanthaburi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Chanthaburi
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom
1:3
Aug 7, 2010 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Chanthaburi
2:1
Apr 17, 2010 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nakhon Pathom Compare

Top Goalscorer Prachuabmon C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Douglas Tardin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chanthaburi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakhon Pathom 68 / 100
Chanthaburi 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakhon Pathom Chanthaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chanthaburi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Nakhon Pathom has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Nakhon Pathom scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nakhon Pathom VS Chanthaburi
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nakhon Pathom

(Home)
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
19 Apr
Nakhon Pathom
0 : 3
Bangkok FC
04 Apr
Mahasarakham
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
22 Mar
Nakhon Pathom
3 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
13 Mar
Khonkaen United
1 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
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Chanthaburi

(Away)
25 Apr
Chanthaburi
1 : 1
Police Tero
18 Apr
Pattani
2 : 1
Chanthaburi
04 Apr
Songkhla
1 : 1
Chanthaburi
21 Mar
Nakhon Si United
1 : 1
Chanthaburi
14 Mar
Sisaket United
1 : 0
Chanthaburi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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