Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Sassi I.
90'
Darbellay D.
90'
Darbellay D.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Nakhon Pathom and Kasetsart finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kasetsart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nakhon Pathom
35%
Draws
8%
Kasetsart
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nakhon Pathom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nakhon Pathom come out ahead of Kasetsart on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Nakhon Pathom taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Nakhon Pathom Clean Sheet 68%
Kasetsart Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakhon Pathom Kasetsart
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.84 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Nakhon Pathom
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Nakhon Pathom
3:0
Oct 29, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Kasetsart vs Nakhon Pathom
1:2
Feb 26, 2023 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Nakhon Pathom
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nakhon Pathom Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kasetsart Compare

Top Goalscorer Sassi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakhon Pathom 95 / 100
Kasetsart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakhon Pathom Kasetsart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nakhon Pathom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Nakhon Pathom remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Kasetsart has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Kasetsart's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nakhon Pathom VS Kasetsart
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nakhon Pathom

(Home)
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
16 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 1
Kanchanaburi
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
05 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
Page 1 of 7

Kasetsart

(Away)
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0
Kasetsart
13 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 2
Uttaradit FC
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0
Kasetsart
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)