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Nakhon Pathom vs Ranong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2022/2023
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Match Events

38'
Khumkrong T.
38'
Khumkrong T.
68' Event
Nergaard P.

AI Match Summary

Nakhon Pathom in this Thai League 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nakhon Pathom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nakhon Pathom
35%
Draws
8%
Ranong
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nakhon Pathom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nakhon Pathom lately — more wins on the board than Ranong.
  • Nakhon Pathom are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Nakhon Pathom here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Nakhon Pathom Clean Sheet 68%
Ranong Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakhon Pathom Ranong
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.8
Goals Conceded 1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2023 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Ranong
2:0
Nov 19, 2022 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Nakhon Pathom
0:2
Apr 9, 2022 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Nakhon Pathom
0:1
Nov 20, 2021 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Ranong
1:2
Feb 6, 2021 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Nakhon Pathom
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nakhon Pathom Compare

Top Goalscorer Nergaard P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Biesamrit N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Ranong Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakhon Pathom 95 / 100
Ranong 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakhon Pathom Ranong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nakhon Pathom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ranong let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Nakhon Pathom stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Ranong lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nakhon Pathom VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nakhon Pathom

(Home)
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
16 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 1
Kanchanaburi
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
05 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
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Ranong

(Away)
30 Apr
Chiangmai FC
3 : 2
Ranong
22 Apr
Ranong
0 : 5
Uthai Thani
08 Apr
Samut Prakan City
2 : 0
Ranong
02 Apr
Ranong
2 : 2
Krabi
29 Mar
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 0
Ranong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nakhon Pathom 34 16 12 6 32:20 60
2 Trat FC 34 17 9 8 55:34 60
3 Uthai Thani 34 16 11 7 70:36 59
4 Customs Utd 34 17 7 10 45:31 58
5 Chiangmai United 34 15 9 10 36:32 54
6 Suphanburi FC 34 16 4 14 36:35 52
7 Rayong FC 34 14 10 10 41:30 52
8 Nakhon Si United 34 14 9 11 48:42 51
9 Phrae United 34 13 12 9 50:43 51
10 Ayutthaya United 34 15 6 13 50:43 51
11 Chiangmai FC 34 13 7 14 49:41 46
12 Krabi 34 10 12 12 46:46 42
13 Chainat Hornbill 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
14 Samut Prakan City 34 8 13 13 32:42 37
15 Kasetsart 34 8 13 13 35:42 37
16 Raj Pracha 34 9 10 15 29:41 37
17 Ranong 34 6 9 19 28:64 27
18 Udon Thani 34 6 3 25 31:87 21
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