Sport Picks
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 80th Birthday Stadium, Nakhon Ratchasima 
Match Events
34'
34'
Jaroenbut N.
46'
46'
Sub
Barreto In: Aranpiroj R.
Out: Barreto
56'
56'
Sub
Jaroenbut N. In: Becerra J.
Out: Jaroenbut N.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Nakhon Ratchasima FC and Sukhothai finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sukhothai
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Sukhothai carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 20%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Sukhothai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1:0
Mar 10, 2023 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Compare
Top Goalscorer James L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Sukhothai Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 32 / 100
Sukhothai 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Sukhothai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sukhothai let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Sukhothai lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nakhon Ratchasima FC VS Sukhothai
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
(Home) 19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
22 Aug
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 0 Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chainat Hornbill
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chiangmai United
22 Aug
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 0 Rasisalai United
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Sukhothai
11 Apr
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Bangkok Utd
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Sukhothai
(Away) 20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0 Sukhothai
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Sukhothai
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0 Sukhothai
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Sukhothai
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1 Sukhothai
03 Apr
Bangkok Utd
2 : 0 Sukhothai
21 Mar
Chonburi
2 : 0 Sukhothai
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
