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Nalon CF vs Ribadesella CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2010/2011 game between Nalon CF and Ribadesella CF finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nalon CF
20%
Draws
38%
Ribadesella CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nalon CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nalon CF come out ahead of Ribadesella CF on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nalon CF's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nalon CF Clean Sheet 14%
Ribadesella CF Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nalon CF Ribadesella CF
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Ribadesella CF vs Nalon CF
1:3
Jan 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Nalon CF vs Ribadesella CF
3:3
Apr 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Nalon CF vs Ribadesella CF
4:3
Dec 7, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Ribadesella CF vs Nalon CF
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nalon CF 39 / 100
Ribadesella CF 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nalon CF Ribadesella CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nalon CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ribadesella CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Nalon CF scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Nalon CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nalon CF VS Ribadesella CF
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nalon CF

(Home)
17 Nov
Nalon CF
1 : 2
Solares
13 May
Tuilla
2 : 4
Nalon CF
06 May
Nalon CF
1 : 0
Condal
01 May
Llanes
3 : 2
Nalon CF
28 Apr
Nalon CF
3 : 0
Pumarin
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Ribadesella CF

(Away)
04 Oct
SD Noja
1 : 1
Ribadesella CF
26 Sept
Ribadesella CF
1 : 0
SD Noja
15 May
Ribadesella CF
1 : 3
Nalon CF
08 May
Praviano
0 : 1
Ribadesella CF
01 May
Ribadesella CF
2 : 2
Real Oviedo B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marino De Luanco 38 25 9 4 79:30 84
2 Universidad Oviedo 38 23 10 5 73:31 79
3 Langreo 38 24 5 9 67:30 77
4 Tuilla 38 23 6 9 83:51 75
5 Candas CF 38 19 12 7 60:38 69
6 Condal 38 17 10 11 57:42 61
7 Navia 38 16 12 10 60:50 60
8 Real Oviedo B 38 16 10 12 77:53 58
9 Navarro 38 16 7 15 44:54 55
10 Real Aviles 38 14 13 11 40:38 55
11 Cudillero 38 11 10 17 39:54 43
12 Lealtad 38 10 11 17 40:49 41
13 Luarca 38 9 14 15 38:53 41
14 Llanes 38 10 11 17 54:72 41
15 Union Club Ceares 38 10 9 19 39:56 39
16 Nalon CF 38 9 11 18 60:82 38
17 Gijon Industrial 38 9 10 19 34:50 37
18 Andes CF 38 9 10 19 35:68 37
19 Ribadesella CF 38 8 8 22 36:76 32
20 Praviano 38 5 6 27 34:72 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)