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Nam Dinh vs Ho Chi Minh

Vietnam Vietnam

Vietnamese Cup Thiên Trường Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Raphael Utzig
23' Event
Matheus Felipe
37' Event
Williams L.

AI Match Summary

Ho Chi Minh in this Vietnamese Cup matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ho Chi Minh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Nam Dinh
22%
Draws
60%
Ho Chi Minh
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ho Chi Minh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nam Dinh.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Ho Chi Minh.
  • Cup tournament structure in Vietnamese Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Nam Dinh Clean Sheet 18%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nam Dinh Ho Chi Minh
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Nam Dinh vs Ho Chi Minh
2:4
May 1, 2026 V.League 1
Nam Dinh vs Ho Chi Minh
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Nam Dinh
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 V.League 1
Nam Dinh vs Ho Chi Minh
1:1
Nov 11, 2024 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Nam Dinh
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nam Dinh Compare

Top Goalscorer Bezerra R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ly Cong Hoang Anh
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ho Chi Minh Compare

Top Goalscorer Raphael Utzig
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Felipe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nam Dinh 20 / 100
Ho Chi Minh 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nam Dinh Ho Chi Minh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nam Dinh scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Ho Chi Minh let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Nam Dinh went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ho Chi Minh lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nam Dinh VS Ho Chi Minh
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Hai Phong-
TBD-
Xuan Thien Phu Tho2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh4
PVF-CAND-
TBD-
Thanh Hoa0
Gia Lai2
Cong An Ha Noi-
TBD-
Viettel1
Hanoi FC0
Khanh Hoa-
Hoa Binh-
Van Hien0
Bac Ninh1
Song Lam Nghe An-
TBD-
Da Nang2
Ho Chi Minh 20
Nam Dinh-
TBD-
Long An2
Quy Nhon United1
Ho Chi Minh-
TBD-
Ho Chi Minh City1
Dong Thap0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai3
Binh Duong1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh1
Quang Ninh0
1/8-finals
Hai Phong1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh2
PVF-CAND1
Gia Lai0
Cong An Ha Noi2
Viettel3
Khanh Hoa0
Bac Ninh1
Song Lam Nghe An2
Da Nang3
Nam Dinh2
Long An0
Ho Chi Minh3
Ho Chi Minh City0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai2
Hong Linh Ha Tinh0
Quarter-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh3
PVF-CAND2
Viettel1
Bac Ninh0
Da Nang1
Nam Dinh2
Ho Chi Minh1
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai0
Semi-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh4
Viettel1
Nam Dinh2
Ho Chi Minh4
Final
Phu Dong Ninh Binh1
Ho Chi Minh2