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Nam Dinh vs Gia Lai

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Thiên Trường Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nam Dinh play Gia Lai in the V.League 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nam Dinh averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Gia Lai averaged 1 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Nam Dinh won 1, Gia Lai won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Nam Dinh and 1.31 for Gia Lai. This points to a Nam Dinh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Nam Dinh
35%
Draws
27%
Gia Lai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nam Dinh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Nam Dinh picked up more points recently compared to Gia Lai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Nam Dinh Clean Sheet 18%
Gia Lai Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nam Dinh Gia Lai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 V.League 1
Nam Dinh vs Gia Lai
1:2
Oct 31, 2025 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Nam Dinh
2:2
May 18, 2025 V.League 1
Nam Dinh vs Gia Lai
6:1
Sep 28, 2024 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Nam Dinh
0:0
May 13, 2024 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Nam Dinh
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nam Dinh Compare

Top Goalscorer Ly Cong Hoang Anh
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gia Lai Compare

Top Goalscorer Junior
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luong Thanh Ngoc Lam
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nam Dinh 38 / 100
Gia Lai 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nam Dinh Gia Lai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nam Dinh or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nam Dinh attacking → ← attacking Gia Lai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nam Dinh scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Gia Lai let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Nam Dinh went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gia Lai lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 30
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324