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Namdhari vs South United

India India

Durand Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Singh B.
85' Event
De

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Namdhari advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Namdhari
15%
Draws
49%
South United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Namdhari carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Namdhari are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Namdhari have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Namdhari, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Namdhari Clean Sheet 20%
South United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namdhari South United
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 9 1
Draws 7 1
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.5 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.6 3.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2025 Durand Cup
Namdhari vs South United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Namdhari Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

South United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namdhari 85 / 100
South United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namdhari South United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Namdhari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Namdhari found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: South United conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: South United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Namdhari VS South United
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Namdhari

(Home)
12 May
Namdhari
0 : 1
Gokulam
04 May
Real Kashmir
0 : 3
Namdhari
29 Apr
Aizawl FC
2 : 1
Namdhari
17 Apr
Namdhari
1 : 4
Chanmari
10 Apr
Namdhari
0 : 2
Lajong
Page 1 of 6

South United

(Away)
07 Aug
East Bengal
5 : 0
South United
04 Aug
Mohun Bagan
8 : 0
South United
28 Jul
South United
2 : 0
CISF Protectors
30 Jul
Namdhari
2 : 0
South United
27 Jul
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
3 : 3
South United
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Namdhari 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 0 1 2 6:13 1
4 South United 3 0 1 2 3:10 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Diamond Harbour 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Border Security Force 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamshedpur 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Army Red 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Nepal Army 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 1 Ladakh 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodoland FC 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Minerva Punjab 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Indo-Tibetan Border Police 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Lajong 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 ATM FA 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Rangdajied United 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indian Navy 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Real Kashmir 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 NEROCA 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 TRAU FC 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams