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Stadium Background

Namibia vs Sao Tome and Principe

World World

World Championship 2026 Obed Itani Chilume Stadium, Francistown
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Reis Tavares Semedo K. In: Cardoso R.
Out: Reis Tavares Semedo K.
41' Event
Shalulile P.
46'
Sub
Fernandes R. In: Vaz dos Ramos A. S.
Out: Fernandes R.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Namibia and Sao Tome and Principe finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Namibia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Namibia
22%
Draws
18%
Sao Tome and Principe
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Namibia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Namibia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Namibia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Namibia Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Tome and Principe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namibia Sao Tome and Principe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship
Namibia vs Sao Tome and Principe
3:0
Nov 21, 2023 World Championship
Sao Tome and Principe vs Namibia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Namibia Compare

Top Goalscorer Shalulile P.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sao Tome and Principe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namibia 68 / 100
Sao Tome and Principe 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namibia Sao Tome and Principe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Tome and Principe has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Sao Tome and Principe has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Namibia found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Namibia VS Sao Tome and Principe
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Namibia

(Home)
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0
Comoros
25 Mar
Kazakhstan
2 : 0
Namibia
17 Nov
Comoros
4 : 0
Namibia
14 Nov
Comoros
1 : 0
Namibia
13 Oct
Tunisia
3 : 0
Namibia
Page 1 of 6

Sao Tome and Principe

(Away)
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3
Ethiopia
13 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
1 : 0
Malawi
10 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 6
Tunisia
09 Sept
Namibia
3 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt1082020:226
2Burkina Faso1063123:821
3Sierra Leone1043312:1015
4Guinea Bissau102448:1010
5Ethiopia102359:149
6Djibouti100195:331
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Senegal1073022:324
2D.R. Congo1071215:622
3Sudan103438:613
4Togo101545:108
5Mauritania101454:137
6South Sudan100553:195
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League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Africa1053215:918
2Nigeria1045115:817
3Benin1052312:1117
4Lesotho103349:1212
5Rwanda103255:911
6Zimbabwe100555:125
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League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cape Verde1072116:823
2Cameroon1054117:519
3Libya1044212:1016
4Angola102629:812
5Mauritius101367:176
6Eswatini100376:193
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League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco880022:224
2Niger850311:1015
3Tanzania83146:710
4Zambia830510:109
5Congo80174:241
6Eritrea00000:00
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Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ivory Coast1082025:026
2Gabon1081122:925
3Gambia1041527:1813
4Kenya1033418:1412
5Burundi1031613:1310
6Seychelles1000102:530
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria1081124:825
2Uganda1060414:918
3Mozambique1060414:1718
4Guinea1043311:815
5Botswana1031612:1610
6Somalia100193:201
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tunisia1091022:028
2Namibia1043313:1015
3Liberia1043313:1115
4Malawi1041511:1013
5Equatorial Guinea103258:1511
6Sao Tome and Principe101095:263
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ghana1081123:625
2Madagascar1061317:1219
3Mali1053217:618
4Comoros1050512:1315
5Central Africa1022611:248
6Chad100195:241
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)