Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Namungo vs Mashujaa

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Majaliwa Stadium, Lindi
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Match Events

25'
Sub
Manyanya H. In: Kipenye C.
Out: Manyanya H.
43'
Onditi S.
46'
Sub
Lyanga D. In: Vuai M.
Out: Lyanga D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Namungo
15%
Draws
57%
Mashujaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mashujaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Namungo haven't matched Mashujaa's recent run of results.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Namungo Clean Sheet 21%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namungo Mashujaa
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.81 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Mashujaa
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Namungo
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Mashujaa
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Namungo
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Namungo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namungo 37 / 100
Mashujaa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namungo Mashujaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mashujaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashujaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Mashujaa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Namungo scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Namungo VS Mashujaa
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Namungo

(Home)
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
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Mashujaa

(Away)
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0
Mashujaa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)