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Namyangju vs Jinju Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
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AI Match Summary

The K4 League game between Namyangju and Jinju Citizen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jinju Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Namyangju
30%
Draws
27%
Jinju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Namyangju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jinju Citizen come out ahead of Namyangju on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular K4 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Namyangju Clean Sheet 15%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namyangju Jinju Citizen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 21
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.52 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 K4 League
Jinju Citizen vs Namyangju
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 K4 League
Namyangju vs Jinju Citizen
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namyangju 31 / 100
Jinju Citizen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namyangju Jinju Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Namyangju went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Namyangju's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Jinju Citizen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Namyangju VS Jinju Citizen
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Namyangju

(Home)
03 Oct
Namyangju
2 : 1
Gijang United
13 Sept
Namyangju
2 : 2
Pyeongtaek Citizen
06 Sept
Jinju Citizen
1 : 2
Namyangju
29 Aug
Seosan Pioneer
1 : 2
Namyangju
22 Aug
Seoul Jungnang
0 : 1
Namyangju
Page 1 of 6

Jinju Citizen

(Away)
03 Oct
Jinju Citizen
0 : 0
Geoje
12 Sept
Sejong SA
0 : 4
Jinju Citizen
06 Sept
Jinju Citizen
1 : 2
Namyangju
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
22 Aug
Gijang United
1 : 4
Jinju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 21 16 3 2 50:16 51
2 Jincheon 21 12 5 4 42:20 41
3 Namyangju 22 11 6 5 32:27 39
4 Seoul Jungnang 21 10 4 7 38:27 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 22 8 7 7 29:32 31
7 Geoje 19 8 4 7 33:26 28
8 Pyeongchang United 21 8 3 10 28:32 27
9 Gijang United 21 8 2 11 29:38 26
10 Sejong SA 21 8 2 11 30:47 26
11 Haman 20 6 2 12 23:35 20
12 Pyeongtaek Citizen 21 3 5 13 27:45 14
13 Seosan Pioneer 21 4 1 16 23:47 13
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