Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nancy vs St Etienne

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Fdaouch Z.
Assist: Ztouti Z.
10'
Le Cardinal J.
45' Event
Davitashvili Z.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nancy
15%
Draws
58%
St Etienne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St Etienne lately — more wins on the board than Nancy.
  • Model gives St Etienne a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nancy Clean Sheet 10%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nancy St Etienne
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 16
Draws 12 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 2
Nancy vs St Etienne
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Nancy
2:1
May 20, 2017 Ligue 1
Nancy vs St Etienne
3:1
Dec 21, 2016 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Nancy
0:0
Dec 14, 2016 Coupe de la Ligue
St Etienne vs Nancy
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Fdaouch Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

St Etienne Compare

Top Goalscorer Stassin L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nancy 10 / 100
St Etienne 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nancy St Etienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nancy scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

St Etienne has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Nancy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nancy VS St Etienne
1.38 Goals Scored 3.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Nancy

(Home)
07 Sept
Nantes
1 : 0
Nancy
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Nancy
14 Aug
Nancy
0 : 1
Montpellier
08 Aug
Boulogne
0 : 0
Nancy
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St Etienne

(Away)
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3
St Etienne
22 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 0
Grenoble
14 Aug
St Etienne
3 : 1
Clermont
08 Aug
Sochaux
0 : 3
St Etienne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)