Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nancy vs Cholet

France France

National 2023/2024 Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Nancy Logo

Nancy

1 - 0
FT
Cholet Logo

Cholet

Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Diaby A.
15'
Abdeldjelil O.
45'
Khoutri H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nancy in this National 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nancy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nancy
35%
Draws
36%
Cholet
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cholet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nancy average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Cholet's 1.
  • Model gives Nancy a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nancy Clean Sheet 17%
Cholet Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nancy Cholet
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 12 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.43 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2024 Ligue 3
Nancy vs Cholet
1:0
Aug 25, 2023 Ligue 3
Cholet vs Nancy
0:2
Mar 10, 2023 Ligue 3
Cholet vs Nancy
1:1
Sep 30, 2022 Ligue 3
Nancy vs Cholet
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaby A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Cholet Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nancy 41 / 100
Cholet 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nancy Cholet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cholet conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Nancy scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Solid form: Nancy remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nancy VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nancy

(Home)
14 Aug
Nancy
0 : 1
Montpellier
08 Aug
Boulogne
0 : 0
Nancy
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2
Dijon
01 Aug
Epinal
0 : 0
Nancy
28 Jul
Nancy
1 : 1
Annecy
Page 1 of 6

Cholet

(Away)
18 May
Chateauroux
1 : 2
Cholet
10 May
Cholet
0 : 2
Avranches
03 May
Le Mans
3 : 3
Cholet
26 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Rouen
19 Apr
Martigues
2 : 2
Cholet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Red Star 34 19 8 7 55:34 65
2 Martigues 34 17 8 9 44:29 59
3 Niort 34 17 7 10 58:42 58
4 Dijon 34 15 9 10 50:41 54
5 Le Mans 34 14 10 10 49:44 52
6 Nancy 34 14 9 11 51:46 50
7 Rouen 34 15 9 10 41:37 49
8 Sochaux 34 12 12 10 51:44 48
9 Versailles 34 12 11 11 41:33 47
10 Orleans 34 11 11 12 36:37 44
11 Nimes 34 11 11 12 36:43 44
12 Chateauroux 34 10 12 12 41:44 42
13 Villefranche 34 10 11 13 36:43 41
14 GOAL FC 34 10 8 16 43:47 38
15 Avranches 34 11 5 18 37:59 38
16 Marignane GCB 34 9 10 15 37:50 37
17 Epinal 34 9 6 19 39:51 33
18 Cholet 34 9 5 20 34:55 32
Promotion - Ligue 2 2023/2024 (Main)