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Nancy vs Guingamp - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nancy host Guingamp in the Ligue 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Guingamp have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Nancy have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.55. Past meetings favor Guingamp slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.19) point toward Nancy. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Nancy
20%
Draws
46%
Guingamp
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guingamp

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nancy come out ahead of Guingamp on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nancy's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Nancy Clean Sheet 20%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nancy Guingamp
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2026 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Guingamp
0:3
Oct 3, 2025 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Nancy
2:2
Mar 19, 2022 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Nancy
3:1
Oct 16, 2021 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Guingamp
2:1
Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Nancy vs Guingamp
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nancy 42 / 100
Guingamp 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nancy Guingamp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Nancy scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Guingamp's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Nancy has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nancy VS Guingamp
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nancy

(Home)
02 Oct
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Nancy
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
11 Sept
Nancy
1 : 2
Reims
07 Sept
Nantes
1 : 0
Nancy
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
Page 1 of 6

Guingamp

(Away)
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
12 Sept
Guingamp
2 : 1
Annecy
05 Sept
Reims
2 : 2
Guingamp
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3
Nantes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)