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Nanjing City vs Dingnan Ganlian - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Wutaishan Stadium, Nanjing
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Erikys
Assist: Palacios M.
46'
Sub
Zhao Chengle In: Wang Xijie
Out: Zhao Chengle
46'
Sub
Yang He In: Hu Jinghang
Out: Yang He

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Nanjing City and Dingnan Ganlian finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nanjing City
20%
Draws
80%
Dingnan Ganlian
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dingnan Ganlian

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Nanjing City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dingnan Ganlian a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Nanjing City Clean Sheet 15%
Dingnan Ganlian Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nanjing City Dingnan Ganlian
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 4
Draws 7 13
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 League One
Nanjing City vs Dingnan Ganlian
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Nanjing City
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 League One
Nanjing City vs Dingnan Ganlian
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Nanjing City
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Nanjing City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nanjing City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngom Mbekeli J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dingnan Ganlian Compare

Top Goalscorer Erikys
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nanjing City 11 / 100
Dingnan Ganlian 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nanjing City Dingnan Ganlian

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dingnan Ganlian Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dingnan Ganlian conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Nanjing City scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Dingnan Ganlian lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nanjing City VS Dingnan Ganlian
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nanjing City

(Home)
07 Oct
Nanjing City
1 : 4
Shaanxi Union
19 Sept
Nanjing City
0 : 3
Wuxi Wugou
13 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
2 : 1
Nanjing City
06 Sept
Suzhou Dongwu
2 : 0
Nanjing City
29 Aug
Nanjing City
0 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
Page 1 of 6

Dingnan Ganlian

(Away)
06 Oct
Dingnan Ganlian
0 : 0
Meizhou Hakka
19 Sept
Dingnan Ganlian
1 : 1
Foshan Nanshi
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0
Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Shaanxi Union
2 : 1
Dingnan Ganlian
29 Aug
Dingnan Ganlian
3 : 4
Suzhou Dongwu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 25 17 6 2 52:21 57
2 Nantong Zhiyun 25 12 9 4 34:20 45
3 Guangxi Hengchen 25 13 6 6 40:27 45
4 Shenzhen Juniors 25 12 8 5 40:29 44
5 Shaanxi Union 25 11 6 8 42:27 39
6 Yanbian Longding 25 9 9 7 34:28 36
7 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 25 9 7 9 23:25 34
8 Wuxi Wugou 25 9 6 10 38:31 33
9 Changchun Yatai 25 10 4 11 38:41 30
10 Ningbo Professional 25 9 5 11 27:31 29
11 Dalian Kun City 25 7 8 10 30:37 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 25 7 9 9 30:35 27
13 Dingnan Ganlian 25 4 12 9 35:46 24
14 Meizhou Hakka 25 7 4 14 25:50 22
15 Nanjing City 25 5 6 14 21:37 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 25 3 7 15 25:49 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)