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Nanov vs Progresul Spartac

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 game between Nanov and Progresul Spartac finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Progresul Spartac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Nanov
15%
Draws
67%
Progresul Spartac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Spartac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Progresul Spartac carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Progresul Spartac's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Progresul Spartac have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Nanov Clean Sheet 10%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nanov Progresul Spartac
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 3 14
Draws 3 2
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.69 2.19
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Nanov vs Progresul Spartac
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs Nanov
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Nanov vs Progresul Spartac
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nanov 10 / 100
Progresul Spartac 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nanov Progresul Spartac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Spartac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Spartac has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Nanov scored in 54% of their last 26 outings.

Nanov has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nanov VS Progresul Spartac
0.63 Goals Scored 2.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nanov

(Home)
15 May
Nanov
2 : 2
CSM Alexandria
01 May
CSO Filiasi
3 : 1
Nanov
25 Apr
Nanov
2 : 1
Adunatii-Copaceni
17 Apr
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
6 : 0
Nanov
10 Apr
Nanov
0 : 2
Progresul Spartac
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Progresul Spartac

(Away)
19 Aug
Blaj
1 : 3
Progresul Spartac
12 Aug
Progresul Spartac
2 : 1
Metaloglobus Bucharest
05 Aug
Bolintin Vale
1 : 3
Progresul Spartac
29 Jul
Progresul Spartac
2 : 0
Progresul Fundulea
15 May
Adunatii-Copaceni
0 : 8
Progresul Spartac
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