Sport Picks

France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de la Beaujoire

Nantes

1 - 2

Paris FC

Our Tip

Match Events

Kebbal I.

Gory A.

18'

Sub

Machado D. In: Lepenant J.

Out: Machado D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paris FC in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paris FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Nantes

44%

Draws

20%

Paris FC

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Nantes haven't matched Paris FC's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Nantes Clean Sheet 16%

Paris FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nantes	Paris FC
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	6	11
Draws	6	10
Losses	17	9
Goals Scored	0.63	2
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Ligue 1

Nantes vs Paris FC

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Oct 24, 2025 Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Nantes

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly

Nantes vs Paris FC

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

2:3

Oct 30, 2019 Coupe de la Ligue

Nantes vs Paris FC

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

8:0

Mar 2, 1979 Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Nantes

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 4 - 0

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Abline M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Paris FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kebbal I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Koleosho L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes 36 / 100

Paris FC 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nantes Paris FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Nantes's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Paris FC conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Nantes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nantes VS Paris FC

0.63 Goals Scored 2

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSG	34	24	4	6	74:29	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66:35	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52:37	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53:40	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63:45	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59:50	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60:54	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58:47	53
9	Toulouse	34	12	9	13	47:46	45
10	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48:51	45
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47:50	44
12	Brest	34	10	9	15	43:55	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29:48	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32:44	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34:44	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37:60	32
17	Nantes	34	5	9	20	29:52	24
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32:76	17