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Nantes W vs Fleury 91 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Stade Marcel Saupin, Nantes
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Potier N.
45'
Sub
Potier N. In: Connesson A.
Out: Potier N.
49' Event
Roth M.
Assist: Buabadi E.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women game between Nantes W and Fleury 91 W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Nantes W
30%
Draws
54%
Fleury 91 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fleury 91 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nantes W come out ahead of Fleury 91 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nantes W a 16% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nantes W Clean Sheet 20%
Fleury 91 W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes W Fleury 91 W
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Fleury 91 W
1:1
Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Fleury 91 W vs Nantes W
0:0
Mar 11, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Fleury 91 W
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs Nantes W
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs Nantes W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Roth M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Fleury 91 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Calba L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes W 49 / 100
Fleury 91 W 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes W Fleury 91 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nantes W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Fleury 91 W let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Nantes W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nantes W VS Fleury 91 W
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantes W

(Home)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
06 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 0
Nantes W
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Fleury 91 W

(Away)
04 Oct
Fleury 91 W
1 : 3
PSG W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
04 Sept
Fleury 91 W
1 : 7
OL Lyonnes W
29 Aug
Bourges 18 W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)