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Nantes W vs Saint-Malo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Stade Marcel Saupin, Nantes
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
1 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Nantes W
20%
Draws
60%
Saint-Malo W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saint-Malo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Nantes W haven't matched Saint-Malo W's recent run of results.
  • 60% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Saint-Malo W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Saint-Malo W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nantes W Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes W Saint-Malo W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Saint-Malo W
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Nantes W
2:3
Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Nantes W vs Saint-Malo W
6:1
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Saint-Malo W vs Nantes W
0:2
May 21, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Saint-Malo W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes W 32 / 100
Saint-Malo W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes W Saint-Malo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Nantes W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Saint-Malo W has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Saint-Malo W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nantes W VS Saint-Malo W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantes W

(Home)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
06 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 0
Nantes W
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Saint-Malo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Strasbourg W
3 : 2
Saint-Malo W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Lens W 3 2 0 1 5:1 7
3 St Etienne W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Strasbourg W 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
5 Saint-Malo W 2 2 0 0 4:1 5
6 Auxerre W 2 2 0 0 4:2 5
7 Thonon Evian W 3 2 0 1 6:10 5
8 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Le Mans W 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
10 Fleury 91 W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
11 Roubaix W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
12 Montpellier W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Le Havre W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
14 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Nice W 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
16 Lille W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
17 Cannes W 2 0 0 2 4:7 1
18 Bourges 18 W 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
19 Toulouse W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)