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Naousa vs Thyella Katsikas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naousa host Thyella Katsikas in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Naousa at 1.03 goals for, 1.07 against; Thyella Katsikas at 1.43 for, 1 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 1.50) point toward Thyella Katsikas. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Naousa
20%
Draws
40%
Thyella Katsikas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Thyella Katsikas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Naousa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Naousa Clean Sheet 16%
Thyella Katsikas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naousa Thyella Katsikas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naousa 48 / 100
Thyella Katsikas 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naousa Thyella Katsikas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naousa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naousa scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Thyella Katsikas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Thyella Katsikas conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Naousa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naousa VS Thyella Katsikas
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Naousa

(Home)
04 Oct
Anagennisi Arta
3 : 1
Naousa
27 Sept
Doxa Mascholouriou
1 : 0
Naousa
08 Sept
Naousa
0 : 2
Kampaniakos
01 Apr
Naousa
1 : 1
A. Asteras
24 Mar
Karitsa
1 : 4
Naousa
Page 1 of 6

Thyella Katsikas

(Away)
04 Oct
Thyella Katsikas
1 : 1
Giannina
27 Sept
Alexandros Florinas
4 : 1
Thyella Katsikas
07 Sept
Thyella Katsikas
0 : 3
AEL Larissa
28 Apr
Thyella Katsikas
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
24 Apr
AO Trikala
2 : 0
Thyella Katsikas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eordaikos 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Makedonikos Siatista 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Anagennisi Arta 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Veria 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Alexandros Florinas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
6 Kastoria 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
7 Doxa Mascholouriou 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
8 Giannina 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
9 Thyella Katsikas 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
10 Naousa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
11 Vatolakkos 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (Losers stage)