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Napajedla vs Nivnice

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Zlinsky KP
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Napajedla host Nivnice in the Zlinsky KP. Nivnice go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Napajedla at 0.76 goals for, 1.86 against; Nivnice at 2.1 for, 1.74 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.77 xG vs 1.85) point toward Nivnice. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Napajedla
15%
Draws
85%
Nivnice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nivnice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nivnice have won more games recently than Napajedla.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Napajedla Clean Sheet 10%
Nivnice Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napajedla Nivnice
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 1 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.76 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.77 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napajedla 30 / 100
Nivnice 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napajedla Nivnice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nivnice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nivnice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Difficult form: Nivnice registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Napajedla found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Napajedla VS Nivnice
0.29 Goals Scored 2.13
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Napajedla

(Home)
12 Sept
Mladcova
3 : 1
Napajedla
06 Sept
Napajedla
0 : 1
Jiskra Stare Mesto
28 Aug
Luhacovice
2 : 0
Napajedla
23 Aug
Napajedla
1 : 2
Velke Karlovice
16 Aug
Horni Becva
2 : 0
Napajedla
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Nivnice

(Away)
12 Sept
Jiskra Stare Mesto
3 : 0
Nivnice
06 Sept
Nivnice
2 : 3
Velke Karlovice
30 Aug
Stitna nad Vlari
2 : 2
Nivnice
23 Aug
Nivnice
1 : 0
Morkovice
15 Aug
Osvetimany
4 : 3
Nivnice
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