Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napajedla vs Velke Karlovice

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Zlinsky KP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Velke Karlovice in this Zlinsky KP matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Velke Karlovice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Napajedla
35%
Draws
56%
Velke Karlovice
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Velke Karlovice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Velke Karlovice lately — more wins on the board than Napajedla.
  • 56% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Napajedla Clean Sheet 11%
Velke Karlovice Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napajedla Velke Karlovice
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.69 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Zlinsky KP
Napajedla vs Velke Karlovice
1:2
Apr 30, 2022 Zlinsky KP
Napajedla vs Velke Karlovice
1:1
Sep 11, 2021 Zlinsky KP
Velke Karlovice vs Napajedla
0:3
Apr 24, 2021 Zlinsky KP
Napajedla vs Velke Karlovice
0:0
Aug 29, 2020 Zlinsky KP
Velke Karlovice vs Napajedla
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napajedla 30 / 100
Velke Karlovice 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napajedla Velke Karlovice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velke Karlovice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Velke Karlovice conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Napajedla found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Napajedla stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napajedla VS Velke Karlovice
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Napajedla

(Home)
26 Sept
Sokol Nevsova
2 : 2
Napajedla
20 Sept
Napajedla
1 : 3
Nivnice
12 Sept
Mladcova
3 : 1
Napajedla
06 Sept
Napajedla
0 : 1
Jiskra Stare Mesto
28 Aug
Luhacovice
2 : 0
Napajedla
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Velke Karlovice

(Away)
26 Sept
Velke Karlovice
2 : 2
Kunovice
19 Sept
FC Slusovice
4 : 0
Velke Karlovice
12 Sept
Velke Karlovice
3 : 3
Vigantice
06 Sept
Nivnice
2 : 3
Velke Karlovice
29 Aug
Velke Karlovice
2 : 2
Jiskra Stare Mesto
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