Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napoli U19 vs Crotone U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mboumbou A.

AI Match Summary

Napoli U19 in this Primavera 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napoli U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Napoli U19
20%
Draws
40%
Crotone U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Napoli U19 lately — more wins on the board than Crotone U19.
  • Napoli U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Napoli U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Crotone U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli U19 Crotone U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 1
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.43 0.65
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Primavera 2
Napoli U19 vs Crotone U19
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Napoli U19
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Napoli U19
0:3
Dec 9, 2023 Primavera 2
Napoli U19 vs Crotone U19
0:1
May 19, 2021 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Napoli U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mboumbou A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Crotone U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli U19 95 / 100
Crotone U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli U19 Crotone U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napoli U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli U19's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Crotone U19 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Crotone U19 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Napoli U19 VS Crotone U19
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Ascoli U19
2 : 2
Napoli U19
12 Sept
Napoli U19
2 : 3
Catanzaro U19
09 Sept
Napoli U19
1 : 2
Arsenal U19
05 Sept
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Napoli U19
10 Dec
Benfica U19
3 : 0
Napoli U19
Page 1 of 6

Crotone U19

(Away)
09 May
Crotone U19
2 : 2
Catanzaro U19
02 May
Cosenza U19
2 : 0
Crotone U19
25 Apr
Crotone U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
18 Apr
Palermo U19
7 : 1
Crotone U19
11 Apr
Crotone U19
2 : 3
Pescara U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma U19 30 21 6 3 62:23 69
2 Como U19 30 21 6 3 74:21 69
3 Entella U19 30 14 10 6 53:31 52
4 Renate U19 30 15 7 8 35:31 52
5 Vicenza U19 30 14 7 9 56:41 49
6 Modena U19 30 10 8 12 57:49 38
7 Sudtirol U19 30 10 7 13 39:43 37
8 Brescia U19 30 9 9 12 39:41 36
9 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 10 5 15 40:60 35
10 Cittadella U19 30 10 5 15 38:54 35
11 Pro Vercelli U19 30 9 6 15 35:46 33
12 Spal U19 30 7 12 11 29:36 33
13 Venezia U19 30 7 11 12 35:51 32
14 Padova U19 30 8 7 15 28:43 31
15 Reggiana U19 30 7 10 13 32:57 31
16 FeralpiSalo U19 30 6 8 16 28:53 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frosinone U19 30 19 6 5 55:26 63
2 Ascoli U19 30 18 5 7 64:45 59
3 Napoli U19 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
4 Ternana U19 30 16 8 6 57:37 56
5 Pescara U19 30 12 9 9 47:37 45
6 Cosenza U19 30 13 4 13 39:42 43
7 Pisa U19 30 12 7 11 53:42 43
8 Benevento U19 30 12 5 13 44:41 41
9 Palermo U19 30 11 7 12 42:44 40
10 Spezia U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Avellino U19 30 8 7 15 45:65 31
12 Bari U19 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
13 Salernitana U19 30 7 10 13 43:54 31
14 Perugia U19 30 7 9 14 34:54 30
15 Monopoli U19 30 8 4 18 33:56 28
16 Crotone U19 30 7 6 17 45:68 27
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)