Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napoli U19 vs Salernitana U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Di Vico R.
12' Event
Raggioli C.
49' Event
Boncori L.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2024/2025 game between Napoli U19 and Salernitana U19 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salernitana U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Napoli U19
15%
Draws
64%
Salernitana U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salernitana U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Napoli U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Napoli U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Napoli U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Salernitana U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli U19 Salernitana U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.43 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Primavera 2
Napoli U19 vs Salernitana U19
1:2
Jan 18, 2025 Primavera 2
Salernitana U19 vs Napoli U19
1:2
Apr 20, 2024 Primavera 2
Napoli U19 vs Salernitana U19
5:1
Dec 2, 2023 Primavera 2
Salernitana U19 vs Napoli U19
1:0
Oct 19, 2022 Coppa Italia Primavera
Napoli U19 vs Salernitana U19
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Raggioli C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Salernitana U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Vico R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boncori L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli U19 84 / 100
Salernitana U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli U19 Salernitana U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napoli U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli U19 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Salernitana U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Salernitana U19's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Napoli U19 VS Salernitana U19
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Ascoli U19
2 : 2
Napoli U19
12 Sept
Napoli U19
2 : 3
Catanzaro U19
09 Sept
Napoli U19
1 : 2
Arsenal U19
05 Sept
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Napoli U19
10 Dec
Benfica U19
3 : 0
Napoli U19
Page 1 of 6

Salernitana U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 6
Perugia U19
12 Sept
Latina U19
4 : 1
Salernitana U19
05 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
22 Aug
Udinese U19
3 : 0
Salernitana U19
09 May
Salernitana U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma U19 30 21 6 3 62:23 69
2 Como U19 30 21 6 3 74:21 69
3 Entella U19 30 14 10 6 53:31 52
4 Renate U19 30 15 7 8 35:31 52
5 Vicenza U19 30 14 7 9 56:41 49
6 Modena U19 30 10 8 12 57:49 38
7 Sudtirol U19 30 10 7 13 39:43 37
8 Brescia U19 30 9 9 12 39:41 36
9 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 10 5 15 40:60 35
10 Cittadella U19 30 10 5 15 38:54 35
11 Pro Vercelli U19 30 9 6 15 35:46 33
12 Spal U19 30 7 12 11 29:36 33
13 Venezia U19 30 7 11 12 35:51 32
14 Padova U19 30 8 7 15 28:43 31
15 Reggiana U19 30 7 10 13 32:57 31
16 FeralpiSalo U19 30 6 8 16 28:53 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frosinone U19 30 19 6 5 55:26 63
2 Ascoli U19 30 18 5 7 64:45 59
3 Napoli U19 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
4 Ternana U19 30 16 8 6 57:37 56
5 Pescara U19 30 12 9 9 47:37 45
6 Cosenza U19 30 13 4 13 39:42 43
7 Pisa U19 30 12 7 11 53:42 43
8 Benevento U19 30 12 5 13 44:41 41
9 Palermo U19 30 11 7 12 42:44 40
10 Spezia U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Avellino U19 30 8 7 15 45:65 31
12 Bari U19 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
13 Salernitana U19 30 7 10 13 43:54 31
14 Perugia U19 30 7 9 14 34:54 30
15 Monopoli U19 30 8 4 18 33:56 28
16 Crotone U19 30 7 6 17 45:68 27
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)