Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napoli U19 vs Sporting CP U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo, Cercola
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Goncalves F.
40'
Pugliese C.
46'
Sub
Pugliese C. In: Spinelli D.
Out: Pugliese C.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 game between Napoli U19 and Sporting CP U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Napoli U19
20%
Draws
74%
Sporting CP U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting CP U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Napoli U19 haven't matched Sporting CP U19's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sporting CP U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Napoli U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting CP U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli U19 Sporting CP U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 17
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Napoli U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caucci A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sporting CP U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli U19 10 / 100
Sporting CP U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli U19 Sporting CP U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli U19 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sporting CP U19 has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Napoli U19 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Napoli U19 VS Sporting CP U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Ascoli U19
2 : 2
Napoli U19
12 Sept
Napoli U19
2 : 3
Catanzaro U19
09 Sept
Napoli U19
1 : 2
Arsenal U19
05 Sept
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Napoli U19
10 Dec
Benfica U19
3 : 0
Napoli U19
Page 1 of 6

Sporting CP U19

(Away)
19 Sept
SC Farense U19
0 : 1
Sporting CP U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
09 Sept
Sporting CP U19
2 : 2
Galatasaray U19
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2
Sporting CP U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1
Oriental U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U19 6 5 1 0 23:9 16
2 Benfica U19 6 5 0 1 26:7 15
3 Club Brugge U19 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
4 Real Madrid U19 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
5 Villarreal U19 6 5 0 1 12:7 15
6 Ath Bilbao U19 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
7 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 16:8 13
8 Barcelona U19 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
9 Tottenham U19 6 4 0 2 28:14 12
10 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 18:8 12
11 Dortmund U19 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Sporting CP U19 6 3 3 0 13:10 12
13 PSG U19 6 3 2 1 17:8 11
14 Inter U19 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
15 Ajax U19 6 3 1 2 24:16 10
16 Liverpool U19 6 3 1 2 8:13 10
17 Leverkusen U19 6 3 1 2 9:16 10
18 Monaco U19 6 3 0 3 20:10 9
19 PSV U19 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
20 Slavia Prague U19 6 2 2 2 16:17 8
21 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 2 1 3 15:13 7
22 Marseille U19 6 2 1 3 12:11 7
23 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
24 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
25 Napoli U19 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
26 Juventus U19 6 1 2 3 12:11 5
27 Bayern U19 6 1 1 4 10:16 4
28 Kairat Almaty U19 6 1 1 4 8:15 4
29 Atalanta U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
30 Pafos U19 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
31 Royale Union SG U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
32 Galatasaray U19 6 1 1 4 6:21 4
33 Arsenal U19 6 1 0 5 11:18 3
34 Newcastle Utd U19 6 0 0 6 6:17 0
35 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 0 6 4:31 0
36 Qarabag Agdam U19 6 0 0 6 1:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)