Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napoli vs Olympiacos Piraeus

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Stadio Teofilo Patini, Castel di Sangro
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Politano M.
27'
Hezze S.
29'
De Bruyne K.

AI Match Summary

Napoli in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Napoli
20%
Draws
57%
Olympiacos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olympiacos Piraeus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Napoli have won more games recently than Olympiacos Piraeus.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Napoli have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Napoli Clean Sheet 16%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Olympiacos Piraeus
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.68 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Olympiacos Piraeus
2:1
Aug 19, 2012 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Olympiacos Piraeus
3:0
Oct 4, 1979 Europa League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Napoli
1:0
Sep 19, 1979 Europa League
Napoli vs Olympiacos Piraeus
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Politano M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucca L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiquinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 36 / 100
Olympiacos Piraeus 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Olympiacos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympiacos Piraeus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Olympiacos Piraeus conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Napoli stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Olympiacos Piraeus
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2
Napoli
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
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Olympiacos Piraeus

(Away)
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
08 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 2
Volos
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
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