Sport Picks
Napoli vs Sporting CP
Europe
Champions League 2025/2026 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples 
Match Events
36'
36'
Hojlund R.
Assist: De Bruyne K.
46'
46'
Sub
Trincao F. In: Goncalves P.
Out: Trincao F.
46'
46'
Sub
Catamo G. In: Suarez L.
Out: Catamo G.
AI Match Summary
Napoli in this Champions League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napoli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting CP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Napoli haven't matched Sporting CP's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Sporting CP's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Napoli Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Napoli | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2025 Champions League
Napoli vs Sporting CP
2:1
Sep 13, 2020 Club Friendly
Sporting CP vs Napoli
0:0
Sep 26, 1989 Europa League
Napoli vs Sporting CP
1:0
Sep 12, 1989 Europa League
Sporting CP vs Napoli
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Napoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Hojlund R.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sporting CP Compare
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Napoli 10 / 100
Sporting CP 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Napoli Sporting CP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting CP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Napoli scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Sporting CP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Napoli went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Napoli VS Sporting CP
2 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Napoli
(Home) 20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0 Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1 Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2 Napoli
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2 Como
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0 Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1 Arsenal
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2 Como
12 Aug
Napoli
6 : 2 Aris
08 Aug
Napoli
1 : 1 Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 4
Sporting CP
(Away) 19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2 Arouca
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1 Sporting CP
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0 Nacional
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Sporting CP
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1 Sporting CP
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Sporting CP
08 Aug
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Sporting CP
11 May
Rio Ave
1 : 4 Sporting CP
26 Apr
AFS
1 : 1 Sporting CP
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
