Sport Picks
Napoli vs Sporting CP
Europe
Champions League 2025/2026 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples 
Match Events
36'
36'
Hojlund R.
Assist: De Bruyne K.
46'
46'
Sub
Trincao F. In: Goncalves P.
Out: Trincao F.
46'
46'
Sub
Catamo G. In: Suarez L.
Out: Catamo G.
AI Match Summary
Napoli in this Champions League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napoli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sporting CP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Napoli haven't matched Sporting CP's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Sporting CP's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Napoli Clean Sheet 16%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Napoli | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2025 Champions League
Napoli vs Sporting CP
2:1
Sep 13, 2020 Club Friendly
Sporting CP vs Napoli
0:0
Sep 26, 1989 Europa League
Napoli vs Sporting CP
1:0
Sep 12, 1989 Europa League
Sporting CP vs Napoli
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Napoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Hojlund R.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Sporting CP Compare
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Napoli 10 / 100
Sporting CP 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Napoli Sporting CP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Napoli scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Sporting CP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Napoli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Napoli VS Sporting CP
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Napoli
(Home) 26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0 Carrarese
22 Jul
Napoli
1 : 3 Arezzo
24 May
Napoli
1 : 0 Udinese
17 May
Pisa
0 : 3 Napoli
11 May
Napoli
2 : 3 Bologna
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0 Carrarese
22 Jul
Napoli
1 : 3 Arezzo
24 May
Napoli
1 : 0 Udinese
11 May
Napoli
2 : 3 Bologna
24 Apr
Napoli
4 : 0 Cremonese
Page 1 of 4
Sporting CP
(Away) 25 Jul
Sporting CP
2 : 0 Monaco
20 Jul
Sporting CP
7 : 0 Strasbourg
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1 Celtic
24 May
Sporting CP
1 : 2 Torreense
16 May
Sporting CP
3 : 0 Gil Vicente
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Rio Ave
1 : 4 Sporting CP
26 Apr
AFS
1 : 1 Sporting CP
22 Apr
FC Porto
0 : 0 Sporting CP
15 Apr
Arsenal
0 : 0 Sporting CP
11 Apr
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 1 Sporting CP
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
