Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napoli W vs Genoa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo, Cercola
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kozak K.
7'
Acuti A.
34' Event
Floe C.
Assist: Bellucci M.

AI Match Summary

Napoli W in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napoli W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Napoli W
15%
Draws
68%
Genoa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genoa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Napoli W have won more games recently than Genoa W.
  • Genoa W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Napoli W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Napoli W Clean Sheet 15%
Genoa W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli W Genoa W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.33 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Genoa W
4:1
Nov 22, 2025 Serie A Women
Genoa W vs Napoli W
1:3
Apr 23, 2023 Serie B Women
Genoa W vs Napoli W
2:5
Dec 4, 2022 Serie B Women
Napoli W vs Genoa W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli W Compare

Top Goalscorer Floe C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kozak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Genoa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sondengaard A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli W 11 / 100
Genoa W 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli W Genoa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genoa W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Genoa W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Napoli W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Napoli W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli W VS Genoa W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli W

(Home)
04 Oct
Napoli W
1 : 2
Como 1907 W
26 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 1
Napoli W
06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0
Parma W
30 Aug
Inter W
6 : 0
Napoli W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
Page 1 of 6

Genoa W

(Away)
04 Oct
Catania W
0 : 2
Genoa W
27 Sept
Genoa W
1 : 0
Vicenza W
20 Sept
Vicenza W
1 : 2
Genoa W
12 Sept
Genoa W
2 : 1
Brescia W
05 Sept
Bologna W
4 : 0
Genoa W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)