Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napoli W vs Ternana W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo, Cercola
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Quazzico F.
Own Goal
28'
Floe C.
37'
Quazzico F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Napoli W and Ternana W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Napoli W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Napoli W
30%
Draws
31%
Ternana W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Napoli W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Napoli W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ternana W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Napoli W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Napoli W Clean Sheet 19%
Ternana W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli W Ternana W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Ternana W
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie A Women
Ternana W vs Napoli W
3:4
May 26, 2024 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Ternana W
0:0
May 22, 2024 Serie A Women
Ternana W vs Napoli W
1:2
Mar 12, 2023 Serie B Women
Ternana W vs Napoli W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli W Compare

Top Goalscorer Carcassi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ternana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli W 28 / 100
Ternana W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli W Ternana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ternana W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ternana W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Napoli W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Napoli W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli W VS Ternana W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli W

(Home)
06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0
Parma W
30 Aug
Inter W
6 : 0
Napoli W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
17 May
Napoli W
1 : 1
Sassuolo W
09 May
Como W
0 : 0
Napoli W
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Ternana W

(Away)
20 Sept
Catania W
1 : 5
Ternana W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
22 Aug
Ternana W
0 : 2
AS Roma W
13 Aug
Ternana W
2 : 2
Frosinone W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)